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Search Results 0 to 19 of about 20 (some duplicates have been removed)
of ohio and florida. but is that true? we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n. we decided to turn the tables tonight and let miller loose on ahmadinejad. >> he is the impeerist do you df fuss. >> barack obama what do you think. >> it's all there in black and white. i hope the white part doesn't screw it up. >> our government is wiping its-[bleep] with the constitution. >> bill: new study out of the university of new hampshire celebrities saying dumb political stuff are hurting their careers. juliet huddy on that. caution, you where to enter the no spin zone. the factor begins right now. >> bill: i'm birl, thanks for watching us tonight. the status of the presidential race right this moment that's the subject of this evening's talking points memo. this is is an important factor tonight because we are going to tell you straight up where the campaign is at this point in hi
. dick morris and dennis miller warming up in the bullpen. both have provocative things to tell us upcoming. >> bill: continuing now with lead story. joining us from columbus the governor of ohio john kasich. before we get to that i'm bortd when people see you they will think i'm off because you obviously before you were the chief executive. >> 10 years. >> bill: that's right. my substitute here. quinnipiac poll has the president ahead in your state. also has you approval rating 48%. disapprove 35. so you in this poll are doing very well but mitt romney is not doing as well as you are and i want to know why. you listened to carl rove and i agree with him. these polls i don't pay attention to him. the numbers you just cited are numbers i didn't even pay attention to on my own numbers because it gindz when you ask and how you asked and what the sample is i think this is very close out here it. it is going to go right down to the wire. it's going to be who convinces people who are creating jobs who are listening and for their children. all about jobs. >> bill: i don't understand. this
. >> caller: it won't matter. then they put dick morris on. dick morris. he said that they're using the 2008 polls. he accused them of using the polls from 2008. >> stephanie: dana, here's what's most entertaining. er this already setting up the prestory for why mitt romney didn't get elected. >> caller: they're totally reaching and my second thing is, you know seeing newt gingrich with todd akin, it is despicable. this whole ralph reed thing, i sent you and chris a copy of the form. he's got this voter form and it was on rachel maddow last night. it is despicable. >> stephanie: newt gingrich will go to the opening of an envelope. the rapey guy? sure. >> caller: absolutely. i don't know. you know, remember with president obama and bill ayers and reverend wright, continually, defended himself. so why isn't mitt romney stepping away from these people? i don't agree with ralph reed or todd akin? he's not doing that. >> the plan is to step -- he's obviously cleared himself of newt gingrich a long time ago and todd
you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't say with specificity what dick is asserting. megyn: what are you supposed to do? >> both of us -- political pollsters screen and likeliness to vote, interest, intensity and where you are. we have in 2004 a split country. we had about an 8-point advantage for democrats in 2000. i can't imagine it being as good or better. if it is, republicans are going down across the board. >> we try to use a variety of different scenarios. even party, slight democratic advantage. bigger democratic advantage then look at differen different altes and advice accordingly. megyn: is there a finger on the poll? there was a hit pi
pollsters. doug schoen is the former advisor to bill clinton. dick morris who was once president clinton's pollster. but he's not a fan of the clintons anymore. but he writes this long piece talking about how the republicans are getting depressed under an after land much of polling that shows president obama ahead but she you shouldn't be because the pollsters are using a variance of the 2008 polling model that he says overstates the likelihood of success. >> it could. the truth is we don't know what the turnouts of democrats and republicans will be. but would i say this. dick it right in so far as most of the media polls are using -- are optimistic for the democratic party. as a professional pollster you try to be as cautious as possible in advising your clients. but most of the polls getting released are giving president obama the benefit of the doubt. megyn: why would they do that? if it says it's -- i don't understand why any pollster would want anything hotter than the most accurate results. >> what accurate is is often open to debate. the dirty little secret of polling is with cell
the trend. dick morris is fox news contributor and author of screwed. dick, you believe the story is . >> i don't think the numbers are accurate. i think there is a fundmental error going on in the polling by the media organizations. not by rasmussen and it shows romney one behind in florida and one in virginia and obama gets the undecided and could be ahead. but the difference is. they are using the is 2008 turn out model. huge latino and college students and viewwer elderly . that model happened for one year only. 2008. it didn't happen in 10 or four. and they are wrong for applying it. it is true if the people who voted in 8 as in 12 obama will get elected. >> brian: does it explain the trend. they were closer even with the same science? >> well, i don't believe that, i believe what they are doing is reweighting the data. that would not establish a trend. the accurate polling which is no reason to go to the polls. go to the accurate one. rasmussen shows the race within a point or two in each of the states . by the way, the trend in rasmussen and in my own poling is that romney was doing
. dick morris in a matter of minutes and we are going from here to ed gillespie running things for the mitt romney camp. should they be concerned about the battle ground states. all coming up on "fox & friends". don't go anywhere, but please get dressed. >> it is 51 after the top of the hour. quick headlines for you. low cost carrier air asia will soon be offering baby free quiet zones. the airline will only allow people 12 and over in that section of the plane. >>> while tensions rise in the patient's rest debacle some are somethi having fun at the nfl's expense. ♪ >> i like it the video has more than 78,000 views. patti ann? >> more on that controversial call heather during the packer's seahawks game up in arms over the nfl's use of refs. now they are worried over the player's safety and whether teams are getting burned in their chance to make it to the super bowl. can the nfl be legally held responsible by any of these groups let's ask criminal defense attorney and fox news contributor arthur adidala. let's look at towns who prophet. the mayor of green bay called an offici
have people like dick morris on the air saying he would win by five points if the election were today. is he smoking something? >> that's a very good question. we can't confirm that. we have pictures live of the president speaking at a campaign event in washington, d.c. eugene, perhaps romney should try disappearing for a while, then he might become as popular as george w. bush because shock, horror, as it stands now, the former president is actually more popular than mitt romney, though they're both, as they say, underwater. what do you think? >> well, perhaps that could work but it's an inconvenient time for romney to disappear given that there's this election in a few weeks. however, he does keep disappearing. he keeps leaving the campaign trail to do these fund-raisers. one asks again what are they thinking in boston, what are they doing in boston, why are they running the campaign this way? and in the end the campaign comes down to the candidate. i mean, you can't blame it on the consultants. you can't blame it on the people around him. tough hold the candidate accountable for th
's ridiculous. >> let me read to you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you make of that? >> you can play lots of games with waiting. vidone it myself. but we have to take these polls as a whole, the polling averages. people ask me, what's the best poll? i always say, none of them. take the polling averages at real clear politics or pollster.com and when you take the averages i don't see what dick is projecting to be reality. maybe that will eventually happen. but it is not there yet. >> steve, larry mentioned this hiewmg gap in women voters -- why? what do you make of that? >> there is always a gender gap. the question is, and i think that dr. sabbato make this is
if that is economically what about the polls that has the president winning in small margin. dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the models they are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of 6-sevenpoints >> chris: that's the key. if they are using the metric where there are six or sevenmore percent they tend to win the poles. they are taking rasmussen metric and they and pew were closest to being right. and they analyzed the data and according to these folks, mitt romney has 5-11 percent in all of the other polls. ing interesting. >> gretchen: if you are conducting polls why not split it 50-50. why would you skew it. >> steve: rasmussen figured
Search Results 0 to 19 of about 20 (some duplicates have been removed)